Utah
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 95.1551Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 130 A Delaware CAA ( 5- 8, 89.8) 16- 9 206 A Duke ACC ( 9- 4, 98.6) 7-14 214 H Denver Big East ( 6- 8, 94.7) 7- 8 221 A Merrimack MAAC ( 7- 9, 88.5) 17- 8 228 H Iona MAAC ( 2-15, 84.3) 32- 4 307 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 4- 9, 93.2) 17-10 311 A Marquette Big East ( 6- 7, 91.6) 16- 7 321 A Virginia ACC (10- 6, 98.6) 11-16 328 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 5-11, 88.9) 20-14 404 A Mercer ASUN ( 6- 8, 88.5) 24-14 411 A Jacksonville ASUN (10- 5, 95.9) 9- 8 418 H Queens ASUN ( 4- 9, 85.3) 18- 0 425 H Air Force ASUN ( 7- 8, 91.3) 13-14 501 N Air Force ASUN ( 7- 8, 91.3) 12-13 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
130 A Delaware 16- 9 7 4 + 3.01
206 A Duke 7-14 -7 -5 - -2.16
214 H Denver 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.88
221 A Merrimack 17- 8 9 5 1.69
228 H Iona 32- 4 28 12 0.00
307 H Dartmouth 17-10 7 3 + 3.62
311 A Marquette 16- 7 9 2 ++ 4.78
321 A Virginia 11-16 -5 -5 -0.17
328 H Bellarmine 20-14 6 8 -1.00
404 A Mercer 24-14 10 5 1.69
411 A Jacksonville 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.09
418 H Queens 18- 0 18 11 0.00
425 H Air Force 13-14 -1 5 --- -6.20
501 N Air Force 12-13 o -1 4 -- -4.82
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H Air Force 13-14 -1 5 --- -6.20 501 N Air Force 12-13 o -1 4 -- -4.82 206 A Duke 7-14 -7 -5 - -2.16 214 H Denver 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.88 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 A Marquette 16- 7 9 2 ++ 4.78 130 A Delaware 16- 9 7 4 + 3.01 307 H Dartmouth 17-10 7 3 + 3.62 411 A Jacksonville 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.09 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Delaware ( 5- 8, 89.8) 16- 9 -10.11 10.49 1.38 1.02 24.26
3 A Duke ( 9- 4, 98.6) 7-14 -1.28 19.32 1.38 1.02 -0.05
3 H Denver ( 6- 8, 94.7) 7- 8 -5.25 15.35 -1.38 1.02 -3.38
3 A Merrimack ( 7- 9, 88.5) 17- 8 -11.43 9.17 1.38 1.02 21.55
3 H Iona ( 2-15, 84.3) 32- 4 -15.64 4.95 -1.38 1.02 7.32
3 H Dartmouth ( 4- 9, 93.2) 17-10 -6.75 13.85 -1.38 1.02 25.51
3 A Marquette ( 6- 7, 91.6) 16- 7 -8.34 12.26 1.38 1.02 27.88
3 A Virginia (10- 6, 98.6) 11-16 -1.29 19.31 1.38 1.02 -0.04
3 H Bellarmine ( 5-11, 88.9) 20-14 -11.03 9.57 -1.38 1.02 16.75
3 A Mercer ( 6- 8, 88.5) 24-14 -11.43 9.17 1.38 1.02 21.55
3 A Jacksonville (10- 5, 95.9) 9- 8 -4.03 16.57 1.38 1.02 36.68
3 H Queens ( 4- 9, 85.3) 18- 0 -14.59 6.01 -1.38 1.02 9.48
3 H Air Force ( 7- 8, 91.3) 13-14 -8.57 12.03 -1.38 1.02 -5.08
3 N Air Force ( 7- 8, 91.3) 12-13 -8.57 12.03 -0.00 1.02 -4.38
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178.06
|
winning pts = 190.9942 losing points = -12.9352
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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